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'What Anwar Ibrahim’s future premiership means for Asia and the globe', Asian Correspondent.Com, 3 October 2018

 

MALAYSIA’s prime minister-in-waiting and former political prisoner Anwar Ibrahim is expected to cruise to an easy victory in a by-election next weekend, taking him a step closer to realising his decades-long ambition of taking office.
Since the historic general election on May 9, Malaysia’s Prime Minister Dr Mahathir Mohamad has repeatedly named Anwar as his successor — based on a power-sharing agreement made among Pakatan Harapan’s (Alliance of Hope) member parties before the polls — although it may take some years before the 93-year-old leader passes the mantle.
But for that to happen, Anwar, who received a royal pardon for his second sodomy conviction within a week of the former Barisan Nasional (National Front) government’s downfall, will need to run for a parliamentary seat.

Democratic reforms

Come Oct 13, voters of Port Dickson, a popular seaside town in the central state of Negeri Sembilan, will be hitting the polling stations where Anwar faces six other candidates.
 
In a bizarre dramatic twist, Anwar’s sodomy accuser, Saiful Bukhari Azlan, has also thrown his hat into the ring and will be fighting his former boss for the seat.
And although Anwar’s re-entry into Parliament brings much fanfare at home, his rise to the top post is expected to resonate across the region as well, especially with regards to Malaysia’s push for reforms and the promotion of democracy, experts say.
SEE ALSO: Malaysian opposition icon Anwar released from prison 
Director of independent pollster Merdeka Center Ibrahim Suffian said Anwar is expected to carry on putting the country on the path of reform due to numerous commitments he had made in the past.
“The expectation is that he will also allow for civil liberties to flourish in Malaysia and find a way to strike a balance between managing the interest between the majority Muslim community and the minorities that make up the country,” Ibrahim told the Asian Correspondent when contacted.
“At the same time, he will project a progressive Islamic image for the country that is in tune with the ideals of democracy and also good governance.”
 
In an interview with the Nikkei Asian Review, the 71-year-old former deputy prime minister said his return to Parliament would allow him to play a “check-and-balance” role by looking at institutional reforms that include a review of the bumiputra policy, a contentious affirmative action programme that accords privileges to the majority Malay population and native ethnic groups.
“The policy, which is race-based and (has been) abused to enrich cronies, has to stop,” Anwar was quoted as saying.

Foreign policy

While taking on the role as deputy prime minister during Dr Mahathir’s first term as premier, Anwar, who led a massive Muslim student opposition movement called ABIM in his younger days, enjoyed a cordial relationship with the west, especially the United States.
The relationship with the US continued to flourish even more when Anwar was removed from Cabinet and slapped with sodomy and corruption charges in 1998, accusations he maintains were politically motivated.
Regardless of Anwar’s long-standing relationship with the west, Ibrahim believes Malaysia’s foreign policy would remain consistent amid the backdrop of rising tensions between the US and China.
“As a leader of a country, he will in all likelihood continue the non-aligned nature of Malaysian foreign policy try to get the best relationship for Malaysia with major superpowers like China, US, India and the rest of West,” Ibrahim said.
“I think he will continue to maintain that fine balance to allow Malaysians to have a more independent foreign policy that is not too closely aligned or dictated by the major powers.”
Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM) Faculty of Social Sciences Professor Dr Sivamurugan Pandian says Anwar has always been loved by the leaders in the Asian region and in other countries as well.
“I believe if he rises to become the prime minister, he may want to use his background, his character to ensure that democracy can be upheld and to move forward to make Malaysia a better country for Asia and the others,” he told the Asian Correspondent.
Sivamurugan said Anwar’s foreign policy would “very much focus on to what extent he will be able to become the voice of the Islamic world and Asean, and also for the third world.”
“He is well-respected and although he has a good relationship with America, he will also make sure that Malaysia is not caught in the fight between these two superpowers, especially when it comes to Asean,” he said.
SEE ALSO: The billion-dollar book sale: Malaysians show support for 1MDB chronicle 
Anwar’s wife and Malaysia’s current Deputy Prime Minister Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail, who is expected to step down when Anwar replaces Dr Mahathir, has pointed out Anwar’s recognition as the “best” finance minister during the nineties.
“Previously what did Anwar Ibrahim do…he (Anwar) had done a lot to the extent that as the finance minister, he was the best then,” she told voters in Port Dickson recently.

Anwar needs to win big

In order to boost the morale of the People’s Justice Party (PKR), the multi-ethnic party that Anwar leads, the charismatic leader needs to secure a huge margin, Professor Mohd Azizuddin Mohd Sani of Universiti Utara Malaysia (UUM) said.
Mohd Azizuddin pointed out, however, that by-elections usually see lower turnouts.
“Anwar will likely win because Port Dickson is largely a fortress for PKR, but Anwar must win big in order to give a boost in morale to his party and for him to become prime minister.”
Anwar has met some opposition within his party ranks and strong backers, but Mohd Azizuddin says these factors were “negligible”.
“What’s important for Anwar to focus on are the locals – who are the ones who will go out to vote for him and see him win big. And the victory will be good for him to become prime minister.”

https://asiancorrespondent.com/2018/10/what-anwar-ibrahims-future-premiership-means-for-asia-and-the-globe/
 

Friday, September 28, 2018

Sunday, September 23, 2018

Friday, September 21, 2018

Wednesday, September 19, 2018

'Soal survival UMNO setelah Tok Pa, Anifah keluar', Bernama, 19 September 2018

 


         
 Kamarul Irwan Alias & Mohd Afiq Zulkifli

  KUALA LUMPUR, 19 Sept (Bernama) -- Tidak sampai 24 jam, dua pemimpin utama UMNO – Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed dan Datuk Seri Anifah Aman bertindak keluar parti, sekali gus menimbulkan persoalan terhadap survival parti itu.

Ini ditambah pula dengan tersebarnya satu senarai mengandungi nama pemimpin UMNO lagi yang kononnya akan meninggalkan parti itu yang tumbang pada pilihan raya umum lalu selepas lebih enam dekad berada di tampuk pemerintahan negara.

Desas-desus kemungkinan ramai lagi pemimpin UMNO yang akan 'angkat kaki' turut mendapat perhatian penganalisis politik dari Universiti Sains Malaysia, Prof Dr Sivamurugan Pandian.

“Mungkin pemimpin-pemimpin ini merasakan hala tuju parti kini tidak seiring dengan perjuangan asal mereka dan memilih untuk keluar parti," katanya ketika dihubungi hari ini.

Katanya, beliau menjangkakan akan ada satu 'senarai panjang' pemimpin dan anggota UMNO yang akan keluar parti, mengikut jejak langkah Mustapa dan Anifah selepas ini.

Sivamurugan berkata keadaan itu menggambarkan krisis dalaman UMNO yang mungkin disebabkan oleh faktor hala tuju parti berkenaan pada masa ini termasuk dilihat seolah-olah gagal merejuvenasi parti berusia 72 tahun itu dalam usaha meraih kembali sokongan orang ramai.

Sebelum ini, tiga anggota Parlimen dari UMNO juga telah meninggalkan parti itu selepas Pilihan Raya Umum ke-14 (PRU14) Mei lalu iaitu Anggota Parlimen Masjid Tanah Datuk Mas Ermieyati Samsudin yang juga bekas Ketua Puteri UMNO, Datuk Dr Noor Azmi Ghazali (Bagan Serai) dan Datuk Syed Abu Hussin Hafiz Syed Abdul Fasal (Bukit Gantang).

Prof Madya Dr Ahmad Marthada Mohamed, Dekan Kolej Undang-undang, Kerajaan dan Pengajian Antarabangsa Univerisit Utara Malaysia berkata Perhimpunan Agung UMNO akhir bulan ini menjadi amat signifikan kerana ia bakal menentukan 'survival' parti itu.

"Akan ada suara-suara permintaan daripada pemimpin-pemimpin yang masih tinggal untuk UMNO mengubah hala tuju, mengubah corak kepimpinan, membuang pemimpin-pemimpin yang tidak lagi relevan," katanya menambah jika ia tidak dilakukan, lebih ramai anggota parti akan beralih arah kepada parti politik yang lain.

Beliau menjangkakan penglibatan bekas perdana menteri Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak juga akan dipersoal ahli akar umbi kerana sering membuat kenyataan-kenyataan yang memberi kesan kepada UMNO walaupun tidak lagi berada dalam saf kepimpinan.

Dr Tunku Mohar Tunku Mohd Mokhtar, pensyarah Sains Politik Universiti Islam Antarabangsa  pula melihat perletakan jawatan Mustapa dan Anifah sebagai manifestasi ketidakyakinan perubahan dalam parti yang dijanjikan oleh presiden UMNO.

"Tok Pa keluar UMNO kerana tidak percaya parti itu boleh dipulihkan semula sementara Anifah pula kerana janji untuk meletakkan jawatan sekiranya Umno dan BN gagal menunaikan janji berhubung Perjanjian Malaysia 1963.

"Tapi itu alasan rasmi, sebab-sebab lain yang dirancang tidak pasti namun pengunduran dua orang yang juga bekas menteri kanan dikira boleh mengoyangkan parti orang Melayu itu," katanya.

Katanya, krisis yang sedang berlaku itu memberi ruang kepada pihak  lawan untuk  melemahkan UMNO, sekali gus ‘menguburkan’ parti itu.

Faktor politik wang dan slogan ‘cash is king’ juga dilihat sudah sebati dengan UMNO sehingga sekarang dan memberi kesan terhadap perkhidmatan wakil rakyat parti itu kepada rakyat di kawasan masing-masing.

"Saya ada bercakap dengan pemimpin-pemimpin UMNO yang menyatakan orang ramai masih meminta sumbangan wang walaupun mereka bukan lagi kerajaan yang memerintah kerana ‘cash is king’ telah menjadi satu budaya dan pendekatan selama ini," kata Ahmad Marthada.

Soal kerjasama UMNO-Pas juga akan mendapat perhatian perhimpunan agung itu dalam menentukan hala tuju pakatan parti-parti pembangkang itu.

-- BERNAMA

Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Friday, September 14, 2018

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Berita Harian, 12 September 2018


New Straits Times, 12 September 2018


The Star, 12 September 2018


Malay Mail, 12 September 2018


'Analysts: No instability within Pakatan with Anwar’s return as MP, but...', The Malay Mail, 12 September 2019

 

       
KUALA LUMPUR, Sept 12 — Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim’s return to Dewan Rakyat will unlikely cause any instability within the new government as this has been agreed upon by all members in the Pakatan Harapan coalition.
Pundits, however, cautioned that the timing and pace of Anwar’s transition from being an MP to assuming the prime minister’s post is crucial in ensuring stability and maintaining public support.
Universiti Sains Malaysia political analyst Sivamurugan Pandian said PKR strategists have their work cut out for them, seeing as Anwar’s wife, Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail, is currently occupying the country’s number two post.
“There should be no problem within the pact because it was agreed from day one that Anwar is their prime minister-in-waiting and up to this day, everyone is still singing the same tune.
“Now, the party strategists need to do a good job. The dilemma is if Wan Azizah doesn’t give up Pandan, they can be accused of nepotism. But if she does, it may seem like she was just standing in while waiting for her husband to swoop in,” he told Malay Mail.
Sivamurugan pointed out that Dr Wan Azizah’s fate is of public concern, as evident in her high rating as the most popular minister, according to a Merdeka Center recent survey.
He said although there may be pressure from supporters for Anwar to move up the ranks once he wins a seat, the PKR president-elect should not rush the transition process.
“Anwar himself said he wants to see reforms being made first and Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad is asking for two years. It would be best for him to be a backbencher for at least one or two more parliament sessions before focusing on the transition,” he said.
International Islamic University of Malaysia (IIUM) professor Datuk Seri Syed Arabi Idid echoed the same sentiment, adding that Anwar could use the time to learn how the show is being run.
“It is good for Anwar to be a backbencher for a while, allowing Dr Wan Azizah to continue holding the DPM post. It is good for both PKR and Pakatan...and Dr Mahathir would not also feel threatened.
“As backbencher, Anwar would have the opportunity to monitor the administration, hit back at the Opposition and he can take this time to ‘recover’. He was away for 20 years and a lot has changed since,” he said.
Anwar had previously commented that he wished to make a Parliament comeback before October this year.
Since then, various speculations about his potential seat have been made, including Sungai Petani, Alor Setar, Pandan and Port Dickson parliamentary seats.
PKR secretary-general Datuk Saifuddin Nasution Ismail has confirmed that Anwar is set to make the official announcement after returning from Hong Kong today.
Saifuddin, had, however, ruled out all northern peninsula states and Pandan, while remaining tight-lipped about Port Dickson.
Political and economic analyst Prof Hoo Ke Ping said the seat is not that important since Anwar is likely to win by a strong margin.
“Generally the seat he will contest in is likely to be one where the constituents favour him greatly. It could likely be either Nibong Tebal, where the incumbent (Prof Datuk) Mansor Othman will make way for him, and who may become Penang Governor later on as a result of this.
“Another option is Permatang Pauh, under Nurul Izzah Anwar. It is possible that upon her departure she can take up any available government post, although there is no word yet as to what she would do if she has to make way for her father,” he said.
Hoo also referred to the PKR party elections, which commenced in July and its results to be announced in November. He said should deputy president Datuk Seri Azmin Ali win the election again, it will serve to strengthen Dr Mahathir’s base of support.
“If Azmin wins it will make no sense for him to move against Anwar, as that would be political suicide.
“Although everyone has largely kept their promises, things can change in the future. Therefore it is important to keep an eye out for November,” he said.
Were Azmin to lose, Hoo said it is also possible that he could end up joining Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia (PPBM) instead, bringing along several PKR MPs with him.
“Azmin can bring along as many as 20 MPs with him if he joins PPBM. This would end up putting Anwar in a delicate and difficult situation,” he said.

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

'Halimey's victory shows PH's strength', Bernama, 9 September 2018

 

By Fadzillah Aishah Ismail

PETALING JAYA, Sept 8  (Bernama) – Halimey Abu Bakar’s victory in the Seri Setia by-election today is a clear  indicator of Pakatan Harapan’s strength, specifically in Selangor.

Even though PAS candidate Dr Halimah Ali tried her best to sell the ‘check and balance’ card, the voters sent a clear signal that the PH government should be given space to continue its agenda without any disturbance.

The former Selangor state executive councillor’s strategy of trying to harp on national issues like PH’s 100 days in power, the 1Malaysia People’s Aid and the Sales and Services  Tax also did not “cut any ice” with the voters.

Universiti Sains Malaysia political analyst Prof Dr Sivamurugan Pandian said when there are very big issues, people would not care whether it was holidays or not or whether the weather was good or not and  come out to vote to make their stand known.

“Maybe the voters still want to give Pakatan  Harapan a chance because their main objective of bringing down the Barisan Nasional has been achieved,” he said, referring the BN’s defeat in the 14th general election on May 9.

On the low voter turnout at only 44.1 per cent , Sivamurugan said besides the by-election being held during a long holiday break, the long campaigning period of 21 days could also  be a factor.

“The Election Commission will have to look into this. Apart from that, there was a similar trend as the Sungai Kandis by-election earlier wherein the PAS-UMNO collaboration also failed to sway voters in Seri Setia,” he said.

The Seri Setia by-election saw Halimey defeating Dr Halimah  by a majority of 4,027 votes.

-- BERNAMA

'Kemenangan Halimey menunjukkan kubu PH masih bertahan', Bernama, 9 September 2018

 

 
Oleh Fadzillah Aishah Ismail

PETALING JAYA, 8 Sept (Bernama) – Kemenangan Halimey Abu Bakar dalam pilihan raya kecil (PRK) Dewan Undangan Negeri (DUN) Seri Setia hari ini memberi isyarat jelas bahawa kubu kuat Pakatan Harapan (PH) di Selangor khususnya di DUN itu masih belum mampu ditembusi pembangkang.

Meskipun calon PAS Dr Halimah Ali bersungguh-sungguh meyakinkan pengundi supaya memilih beliau sebagai pelaksana ‘check and balance’ kepada kerajaan, namun pengundi Seri Setia memberi isyarat bahawa kerajaan PH perlu terus diberi ruang untuk bekerja ‘tanpa gangguan’.

Malah, isu-isu nasional yang dimainkan oleh bekas anggota Exco kerajaan negeri Selangor itu seperti kegagalan 100 hari kerajaan PH memenuhi semua janji, Bantuan Rakyat 1Malaysia (BR1M) dan Cukai Jualan dan Perkhidmatan (SST) juga gagal mempengaruhi pengundi.

Menurut Pensyarah Kanan Sains Politik Fakulti Sains Pentadbiran & Pengajian Polisi Universiti Teknologi Mara (UiTM) Negeri Sembilan Mujibu Abd Muis, PAS seharusnya belajar daripada kegagalan pembangkang memainkan isu sama ketika PRK DUN Sungai Kandis baru-baru ini, yang menyaksikan calon PH Mohd Zawawi Ahmad Mughni dipilih sebagai wakil rakyat baharu.

“Kita tengok selepas 100 hari (kerajaan PH memerintah) memang terdapat kesedaran kepada rakyat bahawa PH tidak boleh ‘deliver’ dalam tempoh 100 hari, namun kena ingat dalam konteks itu ramai juga berpendapat bahawa rakyat mempunyai tahap kepuasan tinggi dengan prestasi kerajaan PH.

“Mereka berpendapat mungkin (kerajaan PH) boleh dimaafkan, sebab itu bila dibawa isu-isu ini ke PRK ini (Seri Setia) itu (kemenangan) tidak berlaku juga. Maka saya berpendapat jika berlaku lagi PRK akan datang, maka pembangkang harus kena ada pendekataan dan platform naratif yang baru untuk imbangi persiapan mengurangkan undi atau mungkin kalahkan PH,” katanya kepada Bernama.

Keputusan PRK DUN Seri Setia menyaksikan Halimey yang merupakan bekas Anggota Majlis Bandaraya Petaling Jaya (MBPJ) menewaskan Dr Halimah dengan majoriti 4,027 undi. Halimey memperoleh 13,725 undi sementara Dr Halimah memperoleh 9,698 undi.

PRK itu diadakan berikutan kematian penyandang kerusi DUN Seri Setia, Prof Dr Shaharuddin Badaruddin akibat kanser usus, 2 Ogos lepas dan ia merupakan PRK kedua diadakan di Selangor selepas Pilihan Raya Umum ke-14 (PRU14).

Penganalisis politik dari Universiti Sains Malaysia Prof Dr Sivamurugan Pandian turut senada dengan Mujibu bahawa isu-isu yang dimainkan oleh calon PAS tidak memberi impak kepada calon PH.

“Bila ada isu besar pengundi akan keluar (mengundi) tidak kira cuti atau cuaca buruk tetapi pada PRK ini ia seolah-olah tidak jadi isu besar pada pengundi. Mungkin bagi pengundi mereka masih beri peluang kepada PH kerana matlamat mereka nak jatuhkan Barisan Nasional dah tercapai,” katanya.

Mengenai peratusan keluar mengundi yang agak rendah iaitu 44.1 peratus, Sivamurugan berpendapat selain faktor cuti panjang, tempoh kempen lama iaitu 21 hari turut memberi kesan kepada pengundi.

“Kempen terlalu panjang, mungkin SPR perlu kaji semula kerana saya lihat kesannya apabila jentera calon jadi hambar sehingga tidak mampu tarik pengundi keluar mengundi. Selain itu, trend hampir sama juga berlaku sama seperti PRK Sungai Kandis di mana kerjasama PAS-UMNO gagal menarik pengundi di Seri Setia.

“Adakah di sini (Seri Setia) pengundi tegar UMNO tidak keluar untuk menyokong calon PAS Jadi ini merupakan ujikaji kedua kerjasama kedua-dua parti itu selepas Sungai Kandis, mungkin kedua-dua pihak (PAS-UMNO) perlu teliti semula di mana silapnya.

“Namun bagi Halimey meskipun majoriti diperoleh rendah berbanding ketika PRU14, ia satu keputusan yang baik untuk beliau kerana peratusan keluar mengundi yang sangat rendah,” katanya.

-- BERNAMA

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